UWI vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
18.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UWI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
UWI
0 - 2
POR
54%
27%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
POR
1 - 2
UWI
39%
29%
32%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
POR
2 - 0
UWI
36%
30%
34%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
UWI
0 - 0
MON
54%
27%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2017 |
HAR
2 - 2
UWI
28%
30%
42%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
REN
1 - 2
WAT
46%
28%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
WAT
1 - 4
POR
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
BOY
0 - 1
WAT
46%
28%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2017 |
WAT
2 - 0
MON
31%
28%
41%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2017 |
TRI
2 - 0
WAT
58%
25%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |