UWI vs Reno FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
14.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UWI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
MON
1 - 0
UWI
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
UWI
0 - 1
JAM
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
POR
1 - 4
UWI
36%
31%
34%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
UWI
1 - 0
WAT
60%
24%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
BOY
2 - 3
UWI
32%
29%
39%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Reno FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
REN
0 - 2
LIO
37%
28%
35%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
MAG
3 - 0
REN
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
REN
0 - 0
HAR
40%
27%
34%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ARN
1 - 1
REN
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
REN
1 - 2
TRI
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |