UWI vs Humble Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.5%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
44.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UWI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
UWI
1 - 3
POR
23%
25%
52%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2020 |
WAT
3 - 1
UWI
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
UWI
0 - 3
CAV
39%
29%
33%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2020 |
MPA
3 - 0
UWI
67%
21%
12%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
UWI
1 - 3
ARN
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Humble Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
LIO
0 - 0
DFC
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
VER
0 - 1
LIO
23%
30%
48%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2020 |
WAT
1 - 0
LIO
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
LIO
2 - 1
CAV
51%
28%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
MPA
0 - 1
LIO
54%
26%
20%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |