UWI vs Humble Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
28.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UWI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
BOY
2 - 1
UWI
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
UWI
1 - 0
CAV
56%
25%
20%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
UWI
1 - 0
WAT
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
POR
3 - 0
UWI
39%
31%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
UWI
3 - 2
RIV
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Humble Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
LIO
0 - 1
POR
46%
28%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 2
LIO
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2015 |
LIO
1 - 1
MON
38%
30%
32%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
ARN
0 - 1
LIO
57%
25%
19%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LIO
1 - 0
TRI
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |