UWI vs Cavalier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
17.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UWI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
LIO
0 - 1
UWI
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
UWI
2 - 2
HAR
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
UWI
1 - 0
TRI
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
SSC
1 - 4
UWI
27%
27%
46%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
UWI
2 - 1
CAV
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cavalier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CAV
2 - 1
ARN
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
REN
0 - 2
CAV
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
POR
3 - 0
CAV
53%
27%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2018 |
CAV
0 - 0
POR
30%
28%
42%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
TRI
0 - 2
CAV
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |