UWI vs Arnett Gardens analysis


64	ELO	72
3.9%	Tilt	-3.7%
31979º	General ELO ranking	1657º
34º	Country ELO ranking	3º
ELO win probability

35.8%

UWI

28%

Draw

36.1%

Arnett Gardens

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

35.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%

28%

Draw

0-0

9.6%

1-1

13.2%

2-2

4.5%

3-3

0.7%

4-4

0.1%

0

28%

36.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

UWI

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
08 Nov. 2015	UWI 5 - 2 TRI 42% 27% 31%	63	66	3	0
05 Nov. 2015	HAR 1 - 1 UWI 49% 28% 24%	63	69	6	0
01 Nov. 2015	UWI 2 - 2 REN 49% 26% 25%	63	61	2	0
25 Oct. 2015	LIO 1 - 0 UWI 46% 28% 26%	64	67	3	-1
18 Oct. 2015	UWI 2 - 1 BOY 44% 27% 29%	63	65	2	+1

Matches

Arnett Gardens

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
08 Nov. 2015	POR 1 - 0 ARN 22% 27% 51%	72	65	7
06 Nov. 2015	ARN 2 - 1 RIV 66% 21% 13%	72	61	11
03 Nov. 2015	MON 2 - 2 ARN 40% 26% 34%	72	70	2
26 Oct. 2015	ARN 1 - 0 WAT 60% 23% 17%	72	66	6
20 Oct. 2015	ARN 2 - 3 TRI 59% 23% 18%	72	66	6