UC Dublin vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2006 |
DER
2 - 0
UCD
65%
23%
12%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2005 |
UCD
2 - 2
SHR
51%
26%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
LON
1 - 0
UCD
49%
28%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
FIN
1 - 2
UCD
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2005 |
UCD
0 - 2
DER
32%
30%
39%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2006 |
STP
0 - 0
WAT
49%
26%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2005 |
STP
1 - 3
LON
44%
28%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
DER
2 - 0
STP
61%
24%
15%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2005 |
STP
3 - 1
SHR
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2005 |
CAO
0 - 1
STP
63%
23%
13%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |