UC Dublin vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2005 |
WAT
0 - 0
UCD
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2005 |
UCD
1 - 0
WAT
76%
16%
8%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2005 |
UCD
1 - 5
CAO
28%
28%
44%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2005 |
UCD
3 - 2
BRW
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2005 |
UCD
1 - 0
SHR
46%
26%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2005 |
STP
0 - 1
SHE
29%
27%
45%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2005 |
SHE
2 - 1
STP
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2005 |
FIN
0 - 2
STP
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2005 |
STP
0 - 2
DRO
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2005 |
BOH
1 - 3
STP
65%
21%
15%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |