Universities AFC vs Ferrymead Bays analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
70.2%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
6º
9º
9º
25
5º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universities AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
COA
5 - 1
UOC
85%
10%
5%
|
11 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
FER
2 - 1
UOC
68%
18%
15%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
UOC
1 - 1
NOM
12%
16%
72%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 6
UOC
45%
21%
34%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
WMK
0 - 1
UOC
62%
19%
19%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
FCN
1 - 3
FER
82%
13%
6%
|
18 | 61 | 43 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
NOM
2 - 1
FER
68%
17%
16%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
FER
2 - 1
UOC
68%
18%
15%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FER
2 - 3
CAS
7%
11%
83%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
NSF
4 - 2
FER
55%
20%
25%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |