Universities AFC vs Twenty 11 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
24.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
6º
9º
9º
1
10º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universities AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
UOC
1 - 2
DUN
17%
19%
65%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CAS
6 - 1
UOC
93%
5%
2%
|
10 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
NSF
5 - 1
UOC
87%
9%
5%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
UOC
0 - 1
CHR
8%
12%
81%
|
11 | 39 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
SUF
0 - 3
UOC
57%
19%
24%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Twenty 11
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 2
DUN
14%
17%
69%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
CHR
11 - 0
FCT
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 39 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 4
FER
11%
15%
74%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
NOM
2 - 0
FCT
88%
9%
4%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 10
CAS
5%
8%
87%
|
7 | 39 | 32 | 0 |