Universitario Popayán vs Real Santander analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
29.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Popayán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2012 |
RIO
3 - 0
UNI
56%
22%
22%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
TFC
0 - 0
UNI
30%
29%
41%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
AFC
61%
20%
19%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
REA
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 0
UNI
30%
23%
47%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2012 |
REA
2 - 3
AME
24%
25%
51%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
REA
2 - 1
FOR
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
BUC
1 - 0
REA
38%
24%
38%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
REA
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
SFC
2 - 0
REA
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |