Universitario Deportes vs UTC Cajamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
24.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 3
UNI
47%
27%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 0
CIE
49%
26%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
MEL
0 - 1
UNI
54%
25%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 0
LOS
40%
26%
35%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
VEL
1 - 0
UNI
69%
20%
11%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
UTC
2 - 0
HUA
44%
26%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
LOS
1 - 1
UTC
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 0
UTC
48%
26%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
UTC
1 - 0
CIE
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MEL
3 - 0
UTC
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |