Universitario Deportes vs UTC Cajamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
18.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
CIE
1 - 1
UNI
45%
28%
27%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
SAM
0 - 0
UNI
39%
29%
32%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
UNI
3 - 1
AYA
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
LEO
1 - 0
UNI
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 1
AUR
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
UTC
1 - 0
GAL
60%
23%
18%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2013 |
UTC
1 - 0
AYA
44%
26%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
LEO
1 - 2
UTC
56%
26%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
UTC
1 - 1
AUR
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2013 |
UTC
3 - 3
SAM
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |