Universitario Deportes vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 0
HUA
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
AYA
4 - 2
UNI
46%
25%
30%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 2
SAM
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CAN
2 - 0
UNI
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 1
UTC
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
COM
3 - 1
AYA
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
COM
3 - 1
MUN
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
COM
1 - 3
ALI
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SAM
2 - 0
COM
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
COM
2 - 1
SPC
17%
22%
61%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |