Universitario Deportes vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
18.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 0
UNI
43%
30%
27%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 1
COB
54%
27%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
AYA
0 - 0
UNI
40%
30%
31%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
UNI
5 - 0
CIE
56%
26%
18%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SPC
3 - 0
UNI
42%
29%
29%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2011 |
COM
0 - 0
SBO
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 1
COM
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
COM
1 - 2
MEL
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
COB
1 - 0
COM
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
COM
2 - 1
HUA
47%
26%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |