Universitario Deportes vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
37.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
ALI
0 - 0
UNI
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2004 |
UNI
3 - 2
BOL
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
VAL
0 - 0
UNI
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
UNI
0 - 0
CAU
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2004 |
SBO
0 - 1
UNI
47%
26%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
SPC
1 - 0
UNI
65%
20%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2004 |
CDE
0 - 1
SPC
20%
26%
55%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
SPC
2 - 1
MEL
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
WAN
2 - 1
SPC
24%
26%
50%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2004 |
BOL
0 - 1
SPC
34%
26%
41%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |