Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 0-0
Universitario Deportes vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
40%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 1
ALI
67%
22%
12%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
TOT
1 - 3
UNI
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
LAN
0 - 0
UNI
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 0
VAL
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
UNI
0 - 0
BLO
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 0
ONC
66%
19%
15%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
3 - 0
SAO
53%
23%
24%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 3
SAN
52%
25%
24%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 3
SAO
35%
27%
39%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
SAO
5 - 0
BOT
77%
16%
7%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |