Copa Libertadores qualifying 1st Round Final
Global 3-3
Universitario Deportes vs Oriente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
OPE
2 - 0
UNI
42%
24%
33%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
CAN
1 - 0
UNI
28%
29%
44%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2017 |
UNI
3 - 1
UTC
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
AYA
3 - 3
UNI
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
MUN
3 - 5
UNI
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
OPE
2 - 0
UNI
42%
24%
33%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2017 |
OPE
2 - 3
SBW
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 0
OPE
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
OPE
2 - 1
JWI
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2017 |
PET
3 - 0
OPE
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |