Universitario Deportes vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 1
UNI
47%
28%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 0
LAN
39%
25%
35%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 2
AYA
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
BLO
1 - 2
UNI
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
MEL
5 - 0
UNI
35%
30%
35%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
SPT
1 - 1
LIB
31%
27%
42%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
LIB
4 - 0
BLO
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
TAC
0 - 4
LIB
29%
30%
42%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
LAN
0 - 2
LIB
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
LIB
2 - 1
RÑU
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |