Universitario Deportes vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
16.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
UNI
1 - 1
GAL
63%
23%
15%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
SAM
1 - 1
UNI
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
MEL
1 - 2
UNI
40%
29%
32%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2008 |
UNI
2 - 1
SAM
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
UNI
2 - 0
SBO
70%
19%
12%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
AUR
0 - 1
MEL
57%
25%
18%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
GAL
1 - 1
AUR
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
AUR
1 - 3
VAL
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
ALI
1 - 1
AUR
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2008 |
SBO
1 - 1
AUR
29%
27%
44%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |