Universitario Deportes vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
33.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
MAN
1 - 0
UNI
46%
24%
30%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
UNI
0 - 0
SAM
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
LOS
0 - 2
UNI
17%
21%
62%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
PIR
0 - 1
UNI
32%
28%
40%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 1
COM
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
MEL
2 - 1
GAR
39%
27%
35%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
UTC
0 - 2
MEL
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
MEL
1 - 2
GAR
40%
25%
35%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
MEL
3 - 0
AYA
50%
24%
25%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
MUN
1 - 0
MEL
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |