Universitario Deportes vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
31%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
UNI
3 - 3
SPC
31%
25%
44%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
AYA
4 - 2
UNI
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 0
COM
59%
23%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
ALI
2 - 0
UNI
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 2
SAM
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
HUA
1 - 1
MEL
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
MEL
2 - 1
COM
72%
19%
9%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
CAN
1 - 2
MEL
33%
31%
36%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
BIN
2 - 2
MEL
46%
29%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
MEL
1 - 2
GAR
46%
26%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |