Universitario Deportes vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
22.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1966 |
RIV
5 - 0
UNI
68%
18%
14%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1966 |
UNI
1 - 1
RIV
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1966 |
UNI
2 - 1
BOC
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1966 |
LAR
0 - 0
UNI
51%
21%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1966 |
MIR
2 - 2
UNI
43%
21%
36%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1966 |
RIV
3 - 0
LAR
72%
17%
12%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1966 |
BOC
2 - 1
LAR
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1966 |
LAR
0 - 3
BOC
42%
26%
33%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1966 |
LAR
1 - 2
RIV
39%
25%
37%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1966 |
LAR
0 - 0
UNI
51%
21%
29%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |