Universitario Deportes vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
17.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
UNI
1 - 3
PEÑ
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1996 |
SPC
0 - 2
UNI
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1994 |
IND
2 - 0
UNI
63%
20%
18%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1994 |
UNI
2 - 1
IND
48%
24%
29%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1994 |
UNI
2 - 1
EME
51%
27%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1996 |
DEF
2 - 4
PEÑ
43%
24%
33%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1994 |
VEL
0 - 0
DEF
78%
14%
8%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1994 |
DEF
1 - 1
VEL
27%
26%
47%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1994 |
DEF
1 - 1
UNI
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1994 |
DEF
0 - 0
COL
45%
25%
31%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |