Universitario Deportes vs Defensor Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.8%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
7.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
AME
0 - 3
UNI
44%
22%
34%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
LIG
2 - 0
UNI
58%
19%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1968 |
IND
3 - 0
UNI
75%
15%
11%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1968 |
EST
1 - 0
UNI
73%
16%
12%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1968 |
UNI
0 - 3
IND
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1970 |
LIG
1 - 2
ARI
83%
11%
7%
|
17 | 77 | 60 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1970 |
AME
1 - 1
ARI
89%
8%
3%
|
17 | 68 | 51 | 0 |