Universitario Deportes vs Alianza Universidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
MEL
2 - 1
UNI
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 0
MAN
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
SAM
2 - 3
UNI
40%
26%
35%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
UNI
3 - 1
PIR
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
COM
1 - 1
UNI
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
AUN
2 - 1
GAR
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2019 |
UTC
2 - 1
AUN
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
AUN
1 - 0
AYA
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
MUN
0 - 0
AUN
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2019 |
AUN
0 - 0
CAN
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |