Universitario Deportes vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
22.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
AYA
1 - 2
UNI
41%
26%
34%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 1
ADT
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2022 |
BIN
1 - 0
UNI
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 1
CIE
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
MUN
2 - 1
UNI
31%
27%
42%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
COL
2 - 1
ALI
63%
22%
16%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
ALI
1 - 0
UTC
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
ALI
0 - 1
RIV
17%
23%
60%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
MEL
1 - 0
ALI
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
ALI
0 - 1
SPC
29%
25%
46%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |