Universitario Deportes vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
21.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
AYA
1 - 1
UNI
44%
26%
31%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
UNI
3 - 1
CIE
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
SPC
2 - 2
UNI
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 3
MAN
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
UTC
0 - 1
UNI
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 0
MUN
54%
25%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 2
ALI
47%
26%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
ALI
2 - 1
CAN
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
SBO
0 - 0
ALI
47%
26%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
AUN
0 - 0
ALI
35%
28%
37%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |