Universitario Deportes vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
HUA
0 - 1
UNI
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 0
BIN
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
AUN
0 - 1
UNI
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
LOS
1 - 1
UNI
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 1
MEL
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 0
GAR
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
UTC
1 - 1
ALI
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
ALI
2 - 0
AYA
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
MUN
2 - 2
ALI
46%
27%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
ALI
3 - 2
CAN
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |