Universitario Deportes vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
28.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
COM
1 - 2
UNI
41%
26%
34%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
UNI
3 - 0
COM
48%
26%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
MUN
1 - 2
UNI
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 2
AUR
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
GAR
3 - 1
UNI
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2017 |
ALI
0 - 1
IND
29%
28%
44%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
ALI
2 - 0
GAR
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
UTC
1 - 1
ALI
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ALI
2 - 0
GAR
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
HUA
1 - 2
ALI
46%
27%
28%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |