Universitario Deportes vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
34.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
HUA
2 - 1
UNI
52%
24%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
COM
3 - 0
UNI
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 0
MUN
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
AUR
0 - 0
UNI
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 1
GAR
40%
27%
32%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
AUR
0 - 1
ALI
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
IND
0 - 0
ALI
57%
26%
18%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ALI
7 - 2
AUR
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +3 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
ALI
0 - 0
UTC
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
GAR
2 - 1
ALI
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |