Universitario Deportes vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
HUA
4 - 0
UNI
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2016 |
SAM
4 - 4
UNI
37%
27%
37%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 0
COM
55%
26%
19%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
ALI
1 - 3
UNI
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
UNI
4 - 2
AYA
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ALI
0 - 1
AYA
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ALI
1 - 2
SAM
50%
27%
24%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
UTC
0 - 2
ALI
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ALI
1 - 0
HUA
43%
29%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
COM
2 - 1
ALI
50%
27%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |