Universitario Deportes vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
31.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 0
SPO
52%
27%
21%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
GAR
4 - 2
UNI
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 0
HUA
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
LEO
3 - 2
UNI
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 0
SAM
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2015 |
ALI
0 - 0
MEL
34%
30%
36%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CIE
1 - 0
ALI
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
ALI
0 - 1
AYA
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
UTC
3 - 0
ALI
28%
28%
44%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
ALI
4 - 2
ALI
62%
24%
15%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |