Universitario Deportes vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
29.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
SBO
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
COB
1 - 1
UNI
43%
30%
27%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 1
AUR
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2012 |
GAL
1 - 1
UNI
44%
29%
27%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 2
SPC
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
HUA
3 - 1
ALI
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 0
MEL
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
COM
0 - 0
ALI
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 0
VAL
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 0
ALI
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |