Universitario Deportes vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2010 |
CIE
1 - 1
UNI
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 2
CNI
67%
22%
12%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2010 |
GAL
0 - 3
UNI
27%
30%
44%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 2
UNI
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2010 |
UNI
0 - 0
TOT
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2010 |
ALI
2 - 1
MEL
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
VAL
1 - 1
ALI
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2010 |
ALI
4 - 0
HUA
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2010 |
SBO
2 - 1
ALI
26%
26%
48%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2010 |
ALI
2 - 1
SAM
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |