Universitario Deportes vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
ALI
1 - 1
UNI
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2008 |
AUR
1 - 1
UNI
42%
30%
28%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
UNI
1 - 1
ATL
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
BOL
0 - 1
UNI
46%
29%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2008 |
UNI
1 - 2
SPC
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2008 |
ALI
1 - 0
AUR
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
GAL
4 - 3
ALI
46%
28%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2008 |
ALI
2 - 0
SBO
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2008 |
ALI
1 - 3
SAM
37%
28%
35%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2008 |
VAL
0 - 2
ALI
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |