Universitario Deportes vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
28.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2006 |
ALI
0 - 0
UNI
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
UNI
2 - 3
SAM
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2006 |
SBO
1 - 2
UNI
35%
29%
36%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
UNI
3 - 3
SPC
40%
28%
33%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2006 |
SPO
2 - 1
UNI
43%
28%
29%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2006 |
ALI
2 - 2
BOL
50%
27%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
SPC
2 - 0
ALI
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2006 |
ALI
2 - 0
UNI
62%
24%
14%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
CIE
0 - 0
ALI
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2006 |
ALI
2 - 0
GAL
60%
25%
15%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |