Universitario Deportes vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
42.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
UNI
2 - 1
SPC
28%
27%
46%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
ALI
2 - 0
UNI
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
UNI
1 - 0
BOL
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
VAL
1 - 1
UNI
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
UNI
2 - 0
CAU
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
SBO
0 - 1
ALI
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
ALI
2 - 0
CDE
73%
18%
9%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
SAM
1 - 4
ALI
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
ALI
3 - 0
WAN
75%
17%
8%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
UNI
1 - 1
ALI
26%
27%
48%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |