Universitario Deportes vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
26.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1965 |
UCH
5 - 2
UNI
67%
17%
16%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1965 |
SAN
2 - 1
UNI
78%
13%
9%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1965 |
UNI
1 - 0
UCH
57%
19%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1965 |
UNI
1 - 2
SAN
42%
23%
35%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
UNI
2 - 0
PEÑ
51%
22%
27%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1964 |
ALI
1 - 2
MIL
66%
17%
17%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1964 |
ALI
2 - 2
IND
46%
24%
31%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1964 |
IND
4 - 0
ALI
66%
19%
16%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1964 |
MIL
3 - 2
ALI
52%
20%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1963 |
BOT
2 - 1
ALI
65%
18%
17%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |