Universitario FC vs Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
19.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
TAR
1 - 3
UNI
9%
15%
76%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
COS
0 - 2
UNI
14%
18%
68%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 5
UNI
7%
14%
79%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
UDG
0 - 0
UNI
19%
21%
60%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 0
TER
62%
19%
19%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
EST
5 - 0
TER
51%
23%
27%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
UCA
2 - 4
EST
6%
12%
82%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
EST
2 - 1
COT
36%
25%
39%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
DPV
0 - 0
EST
8%
13%
79%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
TAR
2 - 2
EST
7%
13%
80%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | -1 |