Universidad San Carlos vs Mixco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
AUR
2 - 2
UNI
19%
25%
56%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
ZAC
83%
12%
5%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 1
QUI
75%
16%
10%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2016 |
SAC
5 - 2
UNI
16%
25%
59%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 1
SAY
79%
14%
7%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
MIX
0 - 0
SAC
40%
27%
33%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SAY
4 - 0
MIX
34%
26%
40%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
MIX
1 - 1
COM
54%
24%
23%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
DSA
1 - 2
MIX
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
MIX
1 - 0
DEP
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |