Universidad San Carlos vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
MUN
3 - 2
UNI
53%
25%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 2
CHI
50%
25%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 2
COB
77%
15%
7%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 1
UNI
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 2
COM
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
CON
3 - 0
COB
40%
28%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
LEO
3 - 1
CON
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 0
CON
69%
19%
11%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
CON
1 - 0
MUN
19%
29%
52%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2015 |
COB
1 - 0
CON
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |