Universidad San Carlos vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
25.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
TOR
1 - 0
UNI
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 1
COM
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
RET
2 - 3
UNI
46%
27%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 1
TOR
63%
23%
15%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 1
VEN
51%
27%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
COM
1 - 2
CON
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
CON
2 - 0
HAL
43%
28%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
COM
3 - 0
CON
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2010 |
CON
1 - 0
COM
45%
28%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
HER
1 - 0
CON
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |