Universidad San Carlos vs Marquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
28.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
RET
2 - 0
UNI
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 0
CHI
51%
27%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
MUN
0 - 1
UNI
52%
25%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
UNI
4 - 0
XIN
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
HER
1 - 1
UNI
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
LEO
1 - 1
COM
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
HAL
3 - 1
LEO
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
TOR
2 - 1
LEO
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
LEO
1 - 0
RET
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 2
LEO
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |