Universidad San Carlos vs Malacateco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
HAL
0 - 2
UNI
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
UNI
5 - 0
LEO
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
MUN
0 - 2
UNI
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 0
VEN
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
IZT
2 - 2
UNI
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 0
HER
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 0
TOR
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 3
COM
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CON
2 - 0
TOR
44%
29%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 2
COA
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |