Universidad San Carlos vs Deportivo Jocotán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 1
MIX
77%
15%
8%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
AUR
2 - 2
UNI
19%
25%
56%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
ZAC
83%
12%
5%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 1
QUI
75%
16%
10%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2016 |
SAC
5 - 2
UNI
16%
25%
59%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Jocotán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SAC
2 - 0
DEP
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
DEP
2 - 0
SAY
62%
20%
17%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
COM
2 - 1
DEP
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
DEP
4 - 1
DSA
57%
22%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
QUI
2 - 1
DEP
34%
24%
42%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |