Universidad San Carlos vs Carchá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
33.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
AUR
2 - 2
UNI
62%
23%
16%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
UNI
4 - 1
ACH
23%
22%
54%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +3 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 2
SAN
26%
23%
51%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
SAC
1 - 1
UNI
64%
22%
14%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 3
AUR
32%
26%
42%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
SAC
38%
27%
35%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
MIX
2 - 1
CAR
47%
26%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
CON
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
COM
3 - 0
CAR
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
SAC
1 - 0
CAR
46%
27%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |