Universidad San Carlos vs Amatitlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 0
UNI
27%
27%
46%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 2
ANT
66%
21%
14%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ESC
3 - 2
UNI
35%
27%
39%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
UNI
3 - 3
ESC
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
COB
2 - 0
UNI
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -3 |
Matches
Amatitlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
AMA
0 - 1
COB
29%
24%
47%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ACH
0 - 1
AMA
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
AMA
2 - 1
UNI
20%
25%
55%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
ANT
2 - 1
AMA
64%
22%
15%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
SAY
4 - 0
AMA
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |