UP Calamonte U19 vs CD Diocesano U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
75.5%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
15º
18º
18º
82
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
81% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 83 |
2º
|
81% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
2.5% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
89.5% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
72.5% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
72.5% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
22 | 22 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
16 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 81% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 19% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UP Calamonte U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
FDC
4 - 1
UPC
54%
21%
26%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CSU
2 - 1
UPC
54%
20%
26%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
UPC
2 - 1
MON
59%
19%
22%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
UPC
3 - 1
UPP
8%
13%
78%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | +3 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
DBN
4 - 0
UPC
60%
19%
21%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
CD Diocesano U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
DIO
5 - 2
CSU
84%
11%
5%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
DIO
3 - 0
UPP
53%
21%
27%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CDB
1 - 1
DIO
38%
23%
39%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
DIO
1 - 0
LCV
82%
11%
7%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
MOR
3 - 2
DIO
10%
16%
74%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | -1 |