Universidad LPGC vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad LPGC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
LEG
2 - 1
ULP
44%
27%
28%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ULP
2 - 0
ALC
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
PUE
0 - 0
ULP
51%
26%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
ULP
0 - 0
CER
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CDT
1 - 1
ULP
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
RMC
4 - 1
LAN
75%
15%
9%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
OVI
2 - 1
RMC
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
RMC
3 - 0
VIL
80%
13%
7%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
CER
0 - 3
RMC
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
GIM
2 - 2
RMC
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |